Search for life in planet x
For decades one critical question that has been passed from one generation to another is the question of are we alone in the universe? Astronauts, scientists, engineers together with other space probe experts have been working tirelessly to unearth the truth about the worry question. The aim is to establish if at all there are other planets apart from planet earth among the solar systems that host living creatures or if not hosting has the potential to support life therein. Thanks to the pioneers, Kepler, Copernicus, Galileo, and Brahe who were the first astronauts in the late 16th and 17th centuries made a successful space exploration. In the early 17th century, they managed to make an inversion to space but at this time the intent of space visit was to the delineation of the orbits of various planets and launch satellites in the solar systems. The contribution is still outstanding up to date as satellites are key apparatus in space study, meteorological applications among other numerous applications. In the spirit of following the suit, today most space probes
The search for life in the galaxy has been fueled by the development of the uniformitarianism theory. The theory was developed by a renowned geological scientist of the 18th century, Hutton and Playfair. Their contribution became a landmark in space exploration as scientists began to have a glimpse of understanding of the earth’s structure, evolution, and age. Even to date, the most sophisticated theorem used to explain the movement of the earth along its orbit in the solar system such as revolution and plate tectonics that give a better understanding of the earth derived their basics from the uniformitarianism theory. Techniques such as electron microscopic imaging, seismological analysis, and isotopic dating together with other relevant theories have enhanced the scientific understanding of the dynamics of the galaxy system while continuing to uncover the new frontiers and insights on the possibility of life in other planets.
In this research spirit, a couple of European nations And United States America (USA) consider a joint resource mobilization in terms of funding amounting to £300, personnel to developed and built a spacecraft to be used by space probes. The main aim of this joint effort is to send a team of experts and space probes into the space to evaluate and conduct a search on the possibility of life beyond planet earth. The spacecraft was well-equipped with more advanced machines and instruments that facilitated the search for the principle elements that support life, which are water, nitrogen, oxygen, moisture, gravity among others. The trip took a couple of months as it was aimed at mapping the composition of the identified surface at least 100-m resolution; map the atmospheric composition to determine global demand and the structure of the sub-surface to a depth of considerable dimensions. On top was to evaluate the atmospheric interaction with the solar wind and establish the atmospheric effects on the planet’s surface. Hence this documentation presents the report of the four most possible scenarios of the findings on the space probe.
- The baseline scenario
Among the possibilities of life on other planets apart from planet earth is not a new norm or acronym in the 21st century as it’s a project or rather a mission of decades now. After a countless number of tries to establish a life in the moon and planet Mars has taken the lead among trials in other planets and galaxy elements. Though there are different opinions and belief on the origin of life and scientists as well as astronauts tend to believe that life springs from the basin and essential elements that support human life such as water oxygen and nutrients while theologies, Christian disregard science and believe that breathe if life is given by the supernatural being. The trip to space was destined to different stations or rather a space bodies to allow multiple analyses that would help in developing a comparative analysis on the most suitable space if at all and establish was to be made on the possibility of support of life. For the baseline scenario was established in the space complex moo. Upon landing on the moon, the ground cameras capture a holistic image of rocks on the moon and these were directly sent to the NASA headquarter labs for further analysis. However, some challenges might affect the credibility of mot space findings in that some species of microbes can survive even in worst conditions. That is their life depends on the least of the needed support life factors hence when used to make conclusions on whether one space body support life might turn fatal to microbes or large organisms.
On space analytical analysis seems quite hectic to verify from hundreds of thousands of rocks and probably gases that are found there hence the spacecraft camera is configured to the NASA data set system. The captured data as raw input information are transmitted to the main server with database information to do sampling through different techniques such as cross-fold validation to help determine the specifics of the rocks found in the space. The baseline scenario in the research investigation was to establish which planet would support life in its basics. Baseline scenario of the endeavored space exploration is a show of the possibility that life can suffice in on the space. Taking consideration of the moon, for a long time, scientists have made several visits and stayed in there for a while. After the collection of vital information regarding life support in relation to the key parameters of research consideration such as availability of water, oxygen among others were relayed to the main data center for analysis. From the data center, the obtained data are run through various data analysis models and iff models to give a verified and validated finding. Baseline scenario suggests that the explored space body should be able to support life if the analysis of found data and parameters are slightly above or below fifty percent of the laid bare minimums of life support. Therefore the mapping of the ground with the expected resolution should not be any thin less than 50% of the sets target and the relationship of the atmosphere with other parameters such as sub-surface and solar wind should prove the support of life at its base level.
- Best case scenario
Space projects and scientific explorations, in general, are high-risk endeavors thus participants need a high level of assurance of safety. Just like any other project, the main intention is to obtain the most desirable outcomes that all parties involved appreciate. The unifying factor among European countries and the United States of America was to consolidate funds and resources to provide space probes with necessary materials and equipment so that they can verify and find proof of life in other galaxy bodies apart from the earth. If the outcome of the space probe proves by over eighty percent that the visited planets have essential parameters of life such as water and oxygen then it proves to be the best-case scenario of the investigation. On circumstance that the composition of the planet surfaces is mapped at a resolution of about 100-m as was expected, atmospheric global circulations perfectly determined, mapped, and effects clearly established then the findings present the best-case scenario for the project.
Most of the space exploration through exoplanets conducted by research entities such as Space X and NASA, through ages can be termed as of best-case scenario. This is because in most space travels conducted the expected results are obtained. For decades of research and study on the signature of life or as mostly referred to as biosignature have greatly encouraged scientific bodies like NASA to address more scientifically and rigorously, whether humanity is only an aspect of planet earth or are there other planets with humanity. However, the world of fiction has brought about confusion amongst many through their constant publications and visual productions about aliens and human-like creatures they say that emanate from the moon, mars among other galaxy systems. Search for life patterns through low-band radio frequencies using radio telescopes. In 2015, NASA released an astrobiology strategy stating that the complexity of life in space may evolve into cognitive systems that can utilize technology in an observable manner. However, to date, no one has ever established that probability of these assertions but what is clear is that it is not zero. This simply implies that there are chances and possibilities of life in the space, with challenges to scientists and astronauts to establish which planet and by what proportion can they support life in its very basics.
Big data analytics is very essential in establishing the much required statistical evaluations on the life support probabilities in space. This can be achieved through the implementation of most appropriate analytic sampling methods such as bootstrap methods of LOOCV approach to give a conclusive finding as far as space exploration is concerned. For this project case, the best-case scenario is the attainment of the research objectives with higher probabilities such as proving through NASA database systems that the toured planet can support life by over eighty percent and above and the project meet within the cost or at a much lower cost as expected. Therefore data analysis plays a key role in data analysis of space exploration for the past, present, and future explorations.
- The Worst case scenario
Space exploration and exoplanet is one of the most risking missions to embark on baring the high level of dangers and risks involved. At all points, no one would wish for the worst case in any endeavor, however, it is the paining truth that we must have at the back of mind that it the worse might happen depending on the probabilistic analysis on any particular event. Since the mission of the space probe was to conduct a space exploration to establish various relationships of varying parameters to support or affirm the possibility of life in space. As the name suggests space asteroids are very much different from earth, right from gas composition, availability, gravitational pull indices are very different and vary with the planet. Therefore being that experts are sent into such an environment, it is essential to calculate and establish the likelihood of the occurrence of risks associated with the operation in question. The worst-case must incorporate the computation of fatality in the mission. As of 2020, there have been over 20 fatalities recorded in space travel as the first was recorded in 1967 due to parachute failure that leads to the fatality of Komarov. The highest fatality recorded in 1986 of space shuttle challenger disaster where seven astronauts lost their lives due to space crush.
The worst-case scenario is one of the most vital analyses that require detained assessment before embarking on the mission as it involves the fate of space explorers. The estimation is facilitated by the availability of efficient and effective probabilistic big data analysis methods. The data set used in probabilistic determination is obtained from the past and present data set from the NASA database. These calculations are necessitated by the availability of robust data analysis methods such as the bootstrap approach that facilities estimations beyond straight forward applications that involve variance calculations with variance intervals. About the mission of the space probes, the worst and undesirable outcomes from the trip would warrant the case scenario. For example, if the journey takes longer than expected, then the astronauts will have to abort the mission prematurely and return. And if they insist to proceed, it implies that they’ll have a shortage of supply of essential commodities such as oxygen gas, food among other staff. Therefore the calculation must improvise the capacity of the required essential travel commodities in excess to cater for such worst-case scenario. On the other hand, the worst case can be registered in terms of not attaining the mission objectives. This might occur in the sense that the trip is a success but over the explored planets none of them showed any possibility of supporting life (not of microbes). Hence in essentiality, calculation, and estimations of the worst-case scenario are important in risky operations such as space travel. These calculations are facilitated through applications of the various methods of evaluation of big data statistical approaches, and most importantly the incorporation of artificial intelligence in such operations to execute most lethal operations.
- The unthinkable scenario
In the world of technological science, anything is possible at any time given favorable conditions and parameters. When Kepler and associates first suggested the idea of making a spacecraft to facilitate their trip to space to many, almost everybody it was an impossible task to achieve, but through their commitment and persistence, it came to reality. Even to date, some scientific explorations may seem unrealistic though through trial tests and research they develop bit by bit to a more realistic and helpful in day to day operations. Scientific innovations are results of making trials and investigations on the things perceived as unthinkable, unrealistic. By proving the mass that the unrealistic thing can be used or transformed to be a thing of reality is termed as technological innovation. For decades before the first trip to space, it was a thing of impossibility but when first astronauts developed spaceship to travel to the moon, at first before the return of the ship it still lies in the balance of reality and impossibility.
The unthinkable scenario has two perspectives, either the outcomes are exemplary good beyond what was expected or the outcomes are adverse that none thought it would be so. The unthinkable case could be that the spacecraft might fail to function in the space due to unprecedented forces encountered during exploration. Mass might have supported life in the past as the indicators suggest, however it is quite uncertain to verify and confirm the same based on the available data set. The question being that where are the proofs of life in such places. In the case of a given trip, the planning was set to be for a couple of months, space travelers might establish substantive findings in less than the stipulated time, coming as a surprise to organizers thus proving to impossibility possible. Or the cost of travel and whole research being half of what was expected. In another dimension, the catastrophe of the whole project being something that was not thought of in the initial stages. These ideas to a great extent demoralize experts as they instill fear. Thanks to data analysis mechanisms that provide an avenue for calculation of all possible risks and ‘what if cases’ through statistical probabilities.
It is recommended that before sending a team of the expert into space exoplanet exploration missions, all possible risks needs to be scrutinized and assessed thoroughly to eliminate a sense of fear among experts. Unthinkable cases are possibilities in any event thus analysis of factors that might lead to this scenario is to be handled with care since they are of fates. Generally, it is not a favorable case scenario but the fact that it might occur, it must be analyzed using high-end statistical approaches to give experts assurance of their safety even beyond the worst-case scenario. Through the past few years, big data analysis methods and techniques have advanced to produce accurate, credible, and reliable information on the data set subjected to analysis. Hence serving its intended purpose in all relevant fields such as business, science, technology, and machine learning applications.
Process description
The idea of space exploration jointly funded by the USA and European countries is timely. It signifies a series of megaprojects that are set to invigorate the space sector to enhance a better understanding of the galaxy system. Through from organization to the launch of the spacecraft was a success due to joint and harmonic union among the party states. For all the countries who gave big promises, deliver equivalently those huge promises that ensured that research on space exploration is achieved. From the contribution of about £300 million, scape craft was developed and fitted with an artificial arm to hold an HD camera and other AI equipment necessary for the research study.
The technical aspect of the research involved the estimations and evaluation of the possibilities of the outcome and most likely events through case scenario analysis. Four case scenarios were considered in the technical analysis, they include, baseline case scenario, best case scenario, worst-case scenario, and the unthinkable case scenario. All were considered and analyzed using statistical data analysis techniques such as fold validation, bootstrap, LOOVC among other techniques to find an accurate and reliable solution on the probability of each case scenario for space exploration.